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Home » Predictions » Others » Olimpia Asuncion x Nacional Asuncion Betting tips for October 30 in Paraguay Cup
Wednesday, 30 October 2024, 23h00 Paraguay Cup
Olimpia Asuncion Olimpia Asuncion
PREDICTION Olimpia Asuncion wins Probability 56% 1 X 2
Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion
ODD: @1.9 Don't miss this prediction!

Olimpia Asuncion x Nacional Asuncion Betting tips for October 30 in Paraguay Cup

Our betting tip for Olimpia Asuncion x Nacional Asuncion, Wednesday, 30/10/2024
📅 30/10/2024
23:00
Olimpia Asuncion Olimpia Asuncion
1.90
X
3.00
Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion
4.10

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Olimpia Asuncion x Nacional Asuncion:

🔮 Olimpia Asuncion wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Olimpia Asuncion, you can win up to $950.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Olimpia Asuncion x Nacional Asuncion:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Olimpia Asuncion in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $95.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Nacional Asuncion in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-245.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Olimpia Asuncion scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Olimpia Asuncion conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Nacional Asuncion.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Olimpia Asuncion x Nacional Asuncion?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Olimpia Asuncion x Nacional Asuncion, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Olimpia Asuncion x Nacional Asuncion for the Paraguay Cup – 30 of October

🏟️ Olimpia Asuncion X Nacional Asuncion – Paraguay Cup
📅 30 of October, 2024 – 23:00
🔵 Olimpia Asuncion – Winning probability: 56.49% | Fair line: 1.77
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.21% | Fair line: 3.97
🔴 Nacional Asuncion – Winning probability: 18.30% | Fair line: 5.46
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Olimpia Asuncion
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Olimpia Asuncion x Nacional Asuncion right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1212930 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Olimpia Asuncion x Nacional Asuncion

Is it worth betting on Olimpia Asuncion?

🔵 Olimpia Asuncion: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 56.49%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 560 times – profiting $504.00;
  • And would have lost other 440 times – with a loss of -$440.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$64.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.21% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $500.00;
  • And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$250.00.

Should you bet on Nacional Asuncion?

🔴 Nacional Asuncion: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.3% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $558.00
  • And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$262.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Olimpia Asuncion x Nacional Asuncion

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Olimpia Asuncion
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Olimpia Asuncion x Nacional Asuncion

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Olimpia Asuncion, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Olimpia Asuncion.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Olimpia Asuncion x Nacional Asuncion

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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