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Home » Predictions » Others » Olimpia Asuncion x Sportivo Ameliano Betting tips for April 13 in Paraguay Division Profesional
Sunday, 13 April 2025, 21h00 Paraguay Division Profesional
Olimpia Asuncion Olimpia Asuncion
PREDICTION Olimpia Asuncion wins Probability 63% 1 X 2
Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano
ODD: @1.75 Don't miss this prediction!

Olimpia Asuncion x Sportivo Ameliano Betting tips for April 13 in Paraguay Division Profesional

Our betting tip for Olimpia Asuncion x Sportivo Ameliano, Sunday, 13/4/2025
📅 13/4/2025
21:00
Olimpia Asuncion Olimpia Asuncion
1.75
X
3.33
Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano
4.40

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Olimpia Asuncion x Sportivo Ameliano:

🔮 Olimpia Asuncion wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Olimpia Asuncion, you can win up to $875.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Olimpia Asuncion x Sportivo Ameliano:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Olimpia Asuncion in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $57.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Sportivo Ameliano in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 Sportivo Ameliano did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 6 Sportivo Ameliano matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Olimpia Asuncion conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Sportivo Ameliano conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Sportivo Ameliano as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Olimpia Asuncion x Sportivo Ameliano?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Olimpia Asuncion x Sportivo Ameliano:

Analysis from Olimpia Asuncion x Sportivo Ameliano for the Paraguay Division Profesional – 13 of April

🏟️ Olimpia Asuncion X Sportivo Ameliano – Paraguay Division Profesional
📅 13 of April, 2025 – 21:00
🔵 Olimpia Asuncion – Winning probability: 63.28% | Fair line: 1.58
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.53% | Fair line: 4.44
🔴 Sportivo Ameliano – Winning probability: 14.19% | Fair line: 7.05
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Olimpia Asuncion
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Olimpia Asuncion x Sportivo Ameliano is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1302894 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Olimpia Asuncion x Sportivo Ameliano

Is it worth betting on Olimpia Asuncion?

🔵 Olimpia Asuncion: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 63.28% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 630 times – having a profit of $472.50;
  • And would have lost other 370 times – with a loss of -$370.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$102.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.53%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.33. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $535.90;
  • And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$234.10.

Is it worth betting on Sportivo Ameliano?

🔴 Sportivo Ameliano: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.19% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 140 times – profiting $476.00;
  • And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$384.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Olimpia Asuncion x Sportivo Ameliano

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Olimpia Asuncion
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Olimpia Asuncion x Sportivo Ameliano

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Olimpia Asuncion and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Olimpia Asuncion.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Olimpia Asuncion.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Olimpia Asuncion x Sportivo Ameliano

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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