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Home » Predictions » Others » Oliveira Hospital x Lusitania Betting tips for September 29 in Portugal Liga 3
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 07h00 Portugal Liga 3
Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 31% 1 X 2
Lusitania Lusitania
ODD: @3.25 Don't miss this prediction!

Oliveira Hospital x Lusitania Betting tips for September 29 in Portugal Liga 3

Our betting tip for Oliveira Hospital x Lusitania, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
07:00
Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital
2.00
X
3.25
Lusitania Lusitania
3.20

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Oliveira Hospital x Lusitania:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1625.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Oliveira Hospital x Lusitania:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Oliveira Hospital in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $285.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Oliveira Hospital scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Lusitania conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Oliveira Hospital x Lusitania?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Oliveira Hospital x Lusitania for the Portugal Liga 3 – 29 of September

🏟️ Oliveira Hospital X Lusitania – Portugal Liga 3
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 07:00
🔵 Oliveira Hospital – Winning probability: 43.65% | Fair line: 2.29
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.80% | Fair line: 3.14
🔴 Lusitania – Winning probability: 24.54% | Fair line: 4.07
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Oliveira Hospital
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Oliveira Hospital x Lusitania is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Oliveira Hospital x Lusitania

Is it worth betting on Oliveira Hospital?

🔵 Oliveira Hospital: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 43.65%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 440 times – this would give you a profit of $440.00
  • And would have lost other 560 times – with a loss of -$560.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$120.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.8% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $720.00;
  • And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$40.00.

Is it worth betting on Lusitania?

🔴 Lusitania: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.54%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – profiting $550.00;
  • And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$200.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Oliveira Hospital x Lusitania

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Oliveira Hospital
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Oliveira Hospital x Lusitania

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Oliveira Hospital, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Oliveira Hospital.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Lusitania.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Oliveira Hospital x Lusitania

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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