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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Olympiakos x Atromitos Athinon Betting tips for September 29 in Greece Super League 1
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 12h00 Greece Super League 1
Olympiakos Olympiakos
PREDICTION Olympiakos wins Probability 93% 1 X 2
Atromitos Athinon Atromitos Athinon
ODD: @1.18 Don't miss this prediction!

Olympiakos x Atromitos Athinon Betting tips for September 29 in Greece Super League 1

Our betting tip for Olympiakos x Atromitos Athinon, Sunday, 29/9/2024
๐Ÿ“… 29/9/2024
12:00
Olympiakos Olympiakos
1.18
X
6.00
Atromitos Athinon Atromitos Athinon
13.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Olympiakos x Atromitos Athinon:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Olympiakos wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Olympiakos, you can win up to $590.00!

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Important information for your tip for Olympiakos x Atromitos Athinon:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Olympiakos in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $142.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Atromitos Athinon scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Atromitos Athinon conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 road matches, Atromitos Athinon has not lost any of them.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Olympiakos has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Atromitos Athinon playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Olympiakos x Atromitos Athinon?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Olympiakos x Atromitos Athinon:

Analysis from Olympiakos x Atromitos Athinon for the Greece Super League 1 – 29 of September

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Olympiakos X Atromitos Athinon – Greece Super League 1
๐Ÿ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 12:00
๐Ÿ”ต Olympiakos – Winning probability: 93.89% | Fair line: 1.07
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 5.54% | Fair line: 18.05
๐Ÿ”ด Atromitos Athinon – Winning probability: 0.57% | Fair line: 174.42
โš– Handicap 1×2: -2.0 Olympiakos
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Olympiakos x Atromitos Athinon right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Olympiakos x Atromitos Athinon

Is it a good idea to bet on Olympiakos?

๐Ÿ”ต Olympiakos: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 93.89% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.18. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 940 times – profiting $169.20;
  • And would lose other 60 times – having a loss of -$60.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$109.20.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 5.54%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 60 times – having a profit of $300.00;
  • And would lose other 940 times – having a loss of -$940.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$640.00.

Is betting on Atromitos Athinon worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด Atromitos Athinon: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.57% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 13.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 10 times – this would give you a profit of $120.00
  • And would lose other 990 times – losing -$990.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$870.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Olympiakos x Atromitos Athinon

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -2.0 Olympiakos
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Olympiakos x Atromitos Athinon

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -2.0 Olympiakos and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.75 Olympiakos.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.75 Olympiakos.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Olympiakos x Atromitos Athinon

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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