Omonia 29is Maiou x AEK Larnaca Betting tips for December 1 in Cyprus Division 1

Our betting tip for Omonia 29is Maiou x AEK Larnaca, Sunday, 1/12/2024

📅 1/12/2024 17:00

Omonia 29is Maiou 8.00

X 4.33

AEK Larnaca 1.33

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Omonia 29is Maiou x AEK Larnaca:

🔮 AEK Larnaca wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on AEK Larnaca, you can win up to $665.00!

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Important information for your tip for Omonia 29is Maiou x AEK Larnaca: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Omonia 29is Maiou in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on AEK Larnaca in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-30.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Omonia 29is Maiou scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 AEK Larnaca matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 Omonia 29is Maiou matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Omonia 29is Maiou conceded at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 road matches, AEK Larnaca has not lost any of them. 👉 It is not a good time for Omonia 29is Maiou as home team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last home matches.

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Analysis from Omonia 29is Maiou x AEK Larnaca for the Cyprus Division 1 – 1 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Omonia 29is Maiou x AEK Larnaca right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Omonia 29is Maiou x AEK Larnaca

Is it a good idea to bet on Omonia 29is Maiou?

🔵 Omonia 29is Maiou: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 1.71% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 8.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 20 times – this would give you a profit of $140.00
• And would have lost other 980 times – with a loss of -$980.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$840.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 10.59% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.33. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 110 times – profiting $366.30;
• And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$523.70.

Is it worth betting on AEK Larnaca?

🔴 AEK Larnaca: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 87.69%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.33. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 880 times – having a profit of $290.40;
• And would have lost other 120 times – with a loss of -$120.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$170.40.

Handicaps analysis for the match Omonia 29is Maiou x AEK Larnaca

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.5 Omonia 29is Maiou
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Omonia 29is Maiou x AEK Larnaca

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.5 Omonia 29is Maiou, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.25 Omonia 29is Maiou.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 AEK Larnaca.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Omonia 29is Maiou x AEK Larnaca

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.