Once Caldas x Fortaleza CEIF Betting tips for November 2 in Colombia Primera A
π
2/11/2024 01:00 |
Once Caldas 1.70 |
X 3.44 |
Fortaleza CEIF 5.00 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Once Caldas x Fortaleza CEIF:
π Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Once Caldas x Fortaleza CEIF
The main points for the tip for Once Caldas x Fortaleza CEIF: π If you had bet $100 on Once Caldas in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $59.0. |
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Analysis from Once Caldas x Fortaleza CEIF for the Colombia Primera A – 2 of November
ποΈ Once Caldas X Fortaleza CEIF – Colombia Primera A |
When the best bet on Once Caldas x Fortaleza CEIF is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1213888 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Once Caldas x Fortaleza CEIF
Should you bet on Once Caldas?
π΅ Once Caldas: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 53.07%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 530 times – profiting $371.00;
- And would lose other 470 times – losing -$470.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of π°-$99.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
βͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.01% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.44. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 300 times – profiting $732.00;
- And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of π°-$32.00.
Is betting on Fortaleza CEIF worth it?
π΄ Fortaleza CEIF: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.93% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $680.00;
- And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$150.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Once Caldas x Fortaleza CEIF
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
β Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Once Caldas
β½ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Once Caldas x Fortaleza CEIF
β Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Once Caldas, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Once Caldas.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Once Caldas.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Once Caldas x Fortaleza CEIF
β½ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.