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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Once Caldas x Fortaleza CEIF Betting tips for November 2 in Colombia Primera A
Saturday, 02 November 2024, 01h00 Colombia Primera A
Once Caldas Once Caldas
PREDICTION No tip
Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF
Don't miss this prediction!

Once Caldas x Fortaleza CEIF Betting tips for November 2 in Colombia Primera A

Our betting tip for Once Caldas x Fortaleza CEIF, Saturday, 2/11/2024
πŸ“… 2/11/2024
01:00
Once Caldas Once Caldas
1.70
X
3.44
Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF
5.00

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Once Caldas x Fortaleza CEIF:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Once Caldas x Fortaleza CEIF

The main points for the tip for Once Caldas x Fortaleza CEIF:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Once Caldas in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $59.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Fortaleza CEIF in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Fortaleza CEIF scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Once Caldas conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, Fortaleza CEIF conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Once Caldas x Fortaleza CEIF?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Once Caldas x Fortaleza CEIF:

Analysis from Once Caldas x Fortaleza CEIF for the Colombia Primera A – 2 of November

🏟️ Once Caldas X Fortaleza CEIF – Colombia Primera A
πŸ“… 2 of November, 2024 – 01:00
πŸ”΅ Once Caldas – Winning probability: 53.07% | Fair line: 1.88
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.01% | Fair line: 3.33
πŸ”΄ Fortaleza CEIF – Winning probability: 16.93% | Fair line: 5.91
βš– Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Once Caldas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Once Caldas x Fortaleza CEIF is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1213888 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Once Caldas x Fortaleza CEIF

Should you bet on Once Caldas?

πŸ”΅ Once Caldas: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 53.07%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 530 times – profiting $371.00;
  • And would lose other 470 times – losing -$470.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$99.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.01% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.44. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – profiting $732.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$32.00.

Is betting on Fortaleza CEIF worth it?

πŸ”΄ Fortaleza CEIF: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.93% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $680.00;
  • And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$150.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Once Caldas x Fortaleza CEIF

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Once Caldas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Once Caldas x Fortaleza CEIF

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Once Caldas, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Once Caldas.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Once Caldas.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Once Caldas x Fortaleza CEIF

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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