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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Once Caldas x La Equidad Betting tips for April 16 in Colombia Primera A
Wednesday, 16 April 2025, 21h10 Colombia Primera A
Once Caldas Once Caldas
PREDICTION No tip
La Equidad La Equidad
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Once Caldas x La Equidad Betting tips for April 16 in Colombia Primera A

Our betting tip for Once Caldas x La Equidad, Wednesday, 16/4/2025
πŸ“… 16/4/2025
21:10
Once Caldas Once Caldas
1.74
X
3.25
La Equidad La Equidad
4.80

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Once Caldas x La Equidad:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Once Caldas x La Equidad

Important information for your tip for Once Caldas x La Equidad:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Once Caldas in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $148.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on La Equidad in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Once Caldas x La Equidad, with Once Caldas as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, La Equidad conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Once Caldas has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against La Equidad playing at home.
πŸ‘‰ It is not a good time for La Equidad as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Once Caldas x La Equidad for the Colombia Primera A – 16 of April

🏟️ Once Caldas X La Equidad – Colombia Primera A
πŸ“… 16 of April, 2025 – 21:10
πŸ”΅ Once Caldas – Winning probability: 61.34% | Fair line: 1.63
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.78% | Fair line: 3.88
πŸ”΄ La Equidad – Winning probability: 12.88% | Fair line: 7.77
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Once Caldas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Once Caldas x La Equidad is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1305181 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Once Caldas x La Equidad

Is betting on Once Caldas worth it?

πŸ”΅ Once Caldas: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 61.34% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.74. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 610 times – profiting $451.40;
  • And would lose other 390 times – having a loss of -$390.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$61.40, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.78% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $585.00;
  • And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$155.00.

Is it worth betting on La Equidad?

πŸ”΄ La Equidad: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.88%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $494.00;
  • And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$376.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Once Caldas x La Equidad

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Once Caldas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Once Caldas x La Equidad

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Once Caldas, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Once Caldas.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Once Caldas.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Once Caldas x La Equidad

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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