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Once Deportivo de Ahuachapán Reserves x CD FAS Reserves Betting tips for January 16 in El Salvador Reserves League

Our betting tip for Once Deportivo de Ahuachapán Reserves x CD FAS Reserves, Sunday, 16/1/2022
📅 16/1/2022
18:00
Once Deportivo de Ahuachapán Reserves
1.75
X
3.75
CD FAS Reserves
3.60

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Once Deportivo de Ahuachapán Reserves x CD FAS Reserves:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Once Deportivo de Ahuachapán Reserves x CD FAS Reserves

📊 Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Once Deportivo de Ahuachapán Reserves x CD FAS Reserves

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Analysis from Once Deportivo de Ahuachapán Reserves x CD FAS Reserves for the El Salvador Reserves League – 16 of January

🏟️ Once Deportivo de Ahuachapán Reserves X CD FAS Reserves – El Salvador Reserves League
📅 16 of January, 2022 – 18:00
🔵 Once Deportivo de Ahuachapán Reserves – Winning probability: 51.24% | Fair line: 1.95
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.82% | Fair line: 3.59
🔴 CD FAS Reserves – Winning probability: 20.93% | Fair line: 4.78
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Once Deportivo de Ahuachapán Reserves
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Once Deportivo de Ahuachapán Reserves and CD FAS Reserves.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 288253 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Once Deportivo de Ahuachapán Reserves x CD FAS Reserves

Is it worth betting on Once Deportivo de Ahuachapán Reserves?

🔵 Once Deportivo de Ahuachapán Reserves: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 51.24% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 510 times – having a profit of $382.50;
  • And would lose other 490 times – having a loss of -$490.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$107.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.82% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – profiting $770.00;
  • And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$50.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it a good idea to bet on CD FAS Reserves?

🔴 CD FAS Reserves: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.93% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – profiting $546.00;
  • And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$244.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Once Deportivo de Ahuachapán Reserves x CD FAS Reserves

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Once Deportivo de Ahuachapán Reserves
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Once Deportivo de Ahuachapán Reserves x CD FAS Reserves

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Once Deportivo de Ahuachapán Reserves, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Once Deportivo de Ahuachapán Reserves.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 CD FAS Reserves.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Once Deportivo de Ahuachapán Reserves x CD FAS Reserves

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves