One Knoxville SC x Forward Madison FC Betting tips for October 1 in USA USL League One

Our betting tip for One Knoxville SC x Forward Madison FC, Tuesday, 1/10/2024

📅 1/10/2024 19:30

One Knoxville SC 2.50

X 3.05

Forward Madison FC 2.60

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for One Knoxville SC x Forward Madison FC:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for One Knoxville SC x Forward Madison FC

The main points for the tip for One Knoxville SC x Forward Madison FC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on One Knoxville SC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-71.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Forward Madison FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-320.0. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, One Knoxville SC scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, One Knoxville SC conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 road matches, Forward Madison FC has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from One Knoxville SC x Forward Madison FC for the USA USL League One – 1 of October

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between One Knoxville SC and Forward Madison FC.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1193838 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for One Knoxville SC x Forward Madison FC

Is betting on One Knoxville SC worth it?

🔵 One Knoxville SC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 36.04% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 360 times – profiting $540.00;
• And would lose other 640 times – losing -$640.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$100.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 35.85%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 360 times – this would give you a profit of $738.00
• And would lose other 640 times – having a loss of -$640.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$98.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Should you bet on Forward Madison FC?

🔴 Forward Madison FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.11% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 280 times – profiting $448.00;
• And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$272.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match One Knoxville SC x Forward Madison FC

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 One Knoxville SC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for One Knoxville SC x Forward Madison FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 One Knoxville SC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 One Knoxville SC.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Forward Madison FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for One Knoxville SC x Forward Madison FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.