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Home » Predictions » Others » Ontinyent x Soneja Betting tips for January 12 in Spain Tercera Group 6
Sunday, 12 January 2025, 16h00 Spain Tercera Group 6
Ontinyent Ontinyent
PREDICTION No tip
Soneja Soneja
Don't miss this prediction!

Ontinyent x Soneja Betting tips for January 12 in Spain Tercera Group 6

Our betting tip for Ontinyent x Soneja, Sunday, 12/1/2025
📅 12/1/2025
16:00
Ontinyent Ontinyent
2.45
X
3.10
Soneja Soneja
2.55

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Ontinyent x Soneja:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Ontinyent x Soneja

Some important points for the tip for Ontinyent x Soneja:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Ontinyent in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-30.0.
👉 In the last 7 Ontinyent matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from Ontinyent x Soneja for the Spain Tercera Group 6 – 12 of January

🏟️ Ontinyent X Soneja – Spain Tercera Group 6
📅 12 of January, 2025 – 16:00
🔵 Ontinyent – Winning probability: 42.60% | Fair line: 2.35
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.35% | Fair line: 3.3
🔴 Soneja – Winning probability: 27.05% | Fair line: 3.7
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Ontinyent
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Ontinyent x Soneja right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1244844 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Ontinyent x Soneja

Is it worth betting on Ontinyent?

🔵 Ontinyent: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 42.6% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 430 times – this would give you a profit of $623.50
  • And would lose other 570 times – having a loss of -$570.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$53.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.35% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $630.00;
  • And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$70.00.

Is betting on Soneja worth it?

🔴 Soneja: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.05% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.55. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $418.50
  • And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$311.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Ontinyent x Soneja

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Ontinyent
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ontinyent x Soneja

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Ontinyent and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Ontinyent.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Ontinyent.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ontinyent x Soneja

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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