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Home » Predictions » Others » Operario Desportivo Lagoa x Estrela de Vendas Novas Betting tips for March 9 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional
Sunday, 09 March 2025, 15h00 Portugal Campeonato Nacional
Operario Desportivo Lagoa Operario Desportivo Lagoa
PREDICTION Operario Desportivo Lagoa wins Probability 84% 1 X 2
Estrela de Vendas Novas Estrela de Vendas Novas
ODD: @1.44 Don't miss this prediction!

Operario Desportivo Lagoa x Estrela de Vendas Novas Betting tips for March 9 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional

Our betting tip for Operario Desportivo Lagoa x Estrela de Vendas Novas, Sunday, 9/3/2025
📅 9/3/2025
15:00
Operario Desportivo Lagoa Operario Desportivo Lagoa
1.44
X
3.80
Estrela de Vendas Novas Estrela de Vendas Novas
6.75

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Operario Desportivo Lagoa x Estrela de Vendas Novas:

🔮 Operario Desportivo Lagoa wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Operario Desportivo Lagoa, you can win up to $720.00!

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Important information for your tip for Operario Desportivo Lagoa x Estrela de Vendas Novas:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Operario Desportivo Lagoa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-65.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Estrela de Vendas Novas in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 4 Estrela de Vendas Novas matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Estrela de Vendas Novas conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Estrela de Vendas Novas as away team: it comes from 8 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Operario Desportivo Lagoa x Estrela de Vendas Novas for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 9 of March

🏟️ Operario Desportivo Lagoa X Estrela de Vendas Novas – Portugal Campeonato Nacional
📅 9 of March, 2025 – 15:00
🔵 Operario Desportivo Lagoa – Winning probability: 84.90% | Fair line: 1.18
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 12.65% | Fair line: 7.9
🔴 Estrela de Vendas Novas – Winning probability: 2.44% | Fair line: 40.93
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Operario Desportivo Lagoa
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Operario Desportivo Lagoa and Estrela de Vendas Novas.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1277138 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Operario Desportivo Lagoa x Estrela de Vendas Novas

Is it a good idea to bet on Operario Desportivo Lagoa?

🔵 Operario Desportivo Lagoa: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 84.9% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.44. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 850 times – having a profit of $374.00;
  • And would have lost other 150 times – with a loss of -$150.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$224.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.65% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $364.00
  • And would lose other 870 times – losing -$870.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$506.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Estrela de Vendas Novas?

🔴 Estrela de Vendas Novas: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 2.44% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 20 times – profiting $115.00;
  • And would have lost other 980 times – with a loss of -$980.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$865.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Operario Desportivo Lagoa x Estrela de Vendas Novas

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Operario Desportivo Lagoa
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Operario Desportivo Lagoa x Estrela de Vendas Novas

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Operario Desportivo Lagoa and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Operario Desportivo Lagoa.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 Estrela de Vendas Novas.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Operario Desportivo Lagoa x Estrela de Vendas Novas

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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