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Home Β» Predictions Β» Operario Desportivo Lagoa x Moura Betting tips for February 2 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional
Sunday, 02 February 2025, 12h00 Portugal Campeonato Nacional
Operario Desportivo Lagoa Operario Desportivo Lagoa
PREDICTION No tip
Moura Moura
Don't miss this prediction!

Operario Desportivo Lagoa x Moura Betting tips for February 2 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional

Our betting tip for Operario Desportivo Lagoa x Moura, Sunday, 2/2/2025
πŸ“… 2/2/2025
12:00
Operario Desportivo Lagoa Operario Desportivo Lagoa
1.95
X
3.25
Moura Moura
3.45

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Operario Desportivo Lagoa x Moura:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Operario Desportivo Lagoa x Moura

Some important points for the tip for Operario Desportivo Lagoa x Moura:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Operario Desportivo Lagoa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-238.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Moura in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $150.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Operario Desportivo Lagoa conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the away team, Moura conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Operario Desportivo Lagoa x Moura for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 2 of February

🏟️ Operario Desportivo Lagoa X Moura – Portugal Campeonato Nacional
πŸ“… 2 of February, 2025 – 12:00
πŸ”΅ Operario Desportivo Lagoa – Winning probability: 51.62% | Fair line: 1.94
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.41% | Fair line: 3.79
πŸ”΄ Moura – Winning probability: 21.97% | Fair line: 4.55
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Operario Desportivo Lagoa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Operario Desportivo Lagoa x Moura right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1255121 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Operario Desportivo Lagoa x Moura

Is betting on Operario Desportivo Lagoa worth it?

πŸ”΅ Operario Desportivo Lagoa: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 51.62% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 520 times – this would give you a profit of $494.00
  • And would lose other 480 times – having a loss of -$480.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$14.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.41% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $585.00
  • And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$155.00.

Is betting on Moura worth it?

πŸ”΄ Moura: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.97%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.45. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $539.00;
  • And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$241.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Operario Desportivo Lagoa x Moura

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Operario Desportivo Lagoa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Operario Desportivo Lagoa x Moura

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Operario Desportivo Lagoa and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Operario Desportivo Lagoa.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Operario Desportivo Lagoa x Moura

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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