Operario Desportivo Lagoa x Serpa Betting tips for September 29 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional
| 📅 29/9/2024 10:30 |
 Operario Desportivo Lagoa2.10 |
X 3.18 |
Serpa  3.09 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Operario Desportivo Lagoa x Serpa:
👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Operario Desportivo Lagoa x Serpa
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Some important points for the tip for Operario Desportivo Lagoa x Serpa: 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Operario Desportivo Lagoa scored at least 1 goal(s). |
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Analysis from Operario Desportivo Lagoa x Serpa for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 29 of September
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🏟️ Operario Desportivo Lagoa X Serpa – Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Operario Desportivo Lagoa and Serpa.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Operario Desportivo Lagoa x Serpa
Is betting on Operario Desportivo Lagoa worth it?
🔵 Operario Desportivo Lagoa: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 43.76%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 440 times – having a profit of $484.00;
- And would lose other 560 times – having a loss of -$560.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$76.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.06%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.18. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $632.20
- And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$77.80.
Should you bet on Serpa?
🔴 Serpa: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.18% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.09. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $564.30;
- And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$165.70.
Handicaps analysis for the match Operario Desportivo Lagoa x Serpa
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Operario Desportivo Lagoa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Operario Desportivo Lagoa x Serpa
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Operario Desportivo Lagoa, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Operario Desportivo Lagoa.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Serpa.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Operario Desportivo Lagoa x Serpa
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
