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Home Β» Predictions Β» Operario FC MS x Costa Rica EC Betting tips for March 9 in Brazil Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense
Sunday, 09 March 2025, 20h00 Brazil Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense
Operario FC MS Operario FC MS
PREDICTION No tip
Costa Rica EC Costa Rica EC
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Operario FC MS x Costa Rica EC Betting tips for March 9 in Brazil Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense

Our betting tip for Operario FC MS x Costa Rica EC, Sunday, 9/3/2025
πŸ“… 9/3/2025
20:00
Operario FC MS Operario FC MS
2.06
X
3.22
Costa Rica EC Costa Rica EC
3.29

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Operario FC MS x Costa Rica EC:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Operario FC MS x Costa Rica EC

Important information for your tip for Operario FC MS x Costa Rica EC:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Operario FC MS in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-99.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Costa Rica EC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $155.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Operario FC MS x Costa Rica EC, with Operario FC MS as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Costa Rica EC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Operario FC MS has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Costa Rica EC playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Operario FC MS x Costa Rica EC for the Brazil Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense – 9 of March

🏟️ Operario FC MS X Costa Rica EC – Brazil Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense
πŸ“… 9 of March, 2025 – 20:00
πŸ”΅ Operario FC MS – Winning probability: 43.14% | Fair line: 2.32
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.33% | Fair line: 3.3
πŸ”΄ Costa Rica EC – Winning probability: 26.53% | Fair line: 3.77
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Operario FC MS
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Operario FC MS x Costa Rica EC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1277138 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Operario FC MS x Costa Rica EC

Is it a good idea to bet on Operario FC MS?

πŸ”΅ Operario FC MS: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 43.14% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.06. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 430 times – having a profit of $455.80;
  • And would have lost other 570 times – with a loss of -$570.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$114.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.33% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.22. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $666.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$34.00.

Is it worth betting on Costa Rica EC?

πŸ”΄ Costa Rica EC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.53%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.29. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $618.30
  • And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$111.70.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Operario FC MS x Costa Rica EC

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Operario FC MS
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Operario FC MS x Costa Rica EC

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Operario FC MS, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Operario FC MS.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Costa Rica EC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Operario FC MS x Costa Rica EC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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