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Home » Predictions » Others » Operario PR x Tombense MG Betting tips for March 13 in Copa do Brasil
Thursday, 13 March 2025, 22h30 Copa do Brasil
Operario PR Operario PR
PREDICTION Operario PR wins Probability 81% 1 X 2
Tombense MG Tombense MG
ODD: @1.85 Don't miss this prediction!

Operario PR x Tombense MG Betting tips for March 13 in Copa do Brasil

Our betting tip for Operario PR x Tombense MG, Thursday, 13/3/2025
📅 13/3/2025
22:30
Operario PR Operario PR
1.85
X
3.15
Tombense MG Tombense MG
4.20

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Operario PR x Tombense MG:

🔮 Operario PR wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Operario PR, you can win up to $925.00!

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The main points for the tip for Operario PR x Tombense MG:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Operario PR in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-20.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Tombense MG in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $143.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Operario PR scored at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Operario PR x Tombense MG for the Copa do Brasil – 13 of March

🏟️ Operario PR X Tombense MG – Copa do Brasil
📅 13 of March, 2025 – 22:30
🔵 Operario PR – Winning probability: 81.63% | Fair line: 1.23
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 11.20% | Fair line: 8.93
🔴 Tombense MG – Winning probability: 7.18% | Fair line: 13.94
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Operario PR
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Operario PR x Tombense MG right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1280916 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Operario PR x Tombense MG

Is betting on Operario PR worth it?

🔵 Operario PR: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 81.63% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 820 times – this would give you a profit of $697.00
  • And would have lost other 180 times – with a loss of -$180.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$517.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.2% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 110 times – profiting $236.50;
  • And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$653.50.

Is it worth betting on Tombense MG?

🔴 Tombense MG: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 7.18%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 70 times – having a profit of $224.00;
  • And would lose other 930 times – losing -$930.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$706.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Operario PR x Tombense MG

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Operario PR
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Operario PR x Tombense MG

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Operario PR and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Operario PR.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Operario PR.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Operario PR x Tombense MG

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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