Orense x Independiente del Valle Betting tips for December 1 in Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
| 📅 1/12/2024 20:30 |
 Orense2.60 |
X 3.40 |
Independiente del Valle  2.37 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Orense x Independiente del Valle:
🔮 Independiente del Valle wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Independiente del Valle, you can win up to $1185.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Orense x Independiente del Valle: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Orense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-142.0. |
Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Orense x Independiente del Valle?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Orense x Independiente del Valle, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Orense x Independiente del Valle for the Ecuador LigaPro Serie A – 1 of December
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🏟️ Orense X Independiente del Valle – Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Orense x Independiente del Valle right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230541 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Orense x Independiente del Valle
Is it worth betting on Orense?
🔵 Orense: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.85% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $304.00;
- And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$506.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.77% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $624.00
- And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$116.00.
Is betting on Independiente del Valle worth it?
🔴 Independiente del Valle: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 55.37% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.37. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 550 times – profiting $753.50;
- And would lose other 450 times – having a loss of -$450.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$303.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Orense x Independiente del Valle
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Orense
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Orense x Independiente del Valle
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Orense, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Orense.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Independiente del Valle.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Orense x Independiente del Valle
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
