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15/1/2022 15:00 |
 Oriental Dragon2.75 |
X 3.12 |
Amora  2.30 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Oriental Dragon x Amora:
๐ฎ Amora wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Amora, you can win up to $1150.00!
๐ Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Oriental Dragon x Amora
Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Oriental Dragon x Amora?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Oriental Dragon x Amora, no problem. Right below you have the bookies that we used the most in 2022. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Oriental Dragon x Amora for the Portugal Liga 3 – 15 of January
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๐๏ธ Oriental Dragon X Amora – Portugal Liga 3 |
When the best bet on Oriental Dragon x Amora is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 287992 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Oriental Dragon x Amora
Is it a good idea to bet on Oriental Dragon?
๐ต Oriental Dragon: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.97% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $472.50
- And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$257.50.
Is betting on draw worth it?
โช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.37% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.12. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 270 times – profiting $573.75;
- And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$156.25.
Should you bet on Amora?
๐ด Amora: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 45.66% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 460 times – this would give you a profit of $598.00
- And would lose other 540 times – losing -$540.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐ฐ$58.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Oriental Dragon x Amora
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
โ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Oriental Dragon
โฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Oriental Dragon x Amora
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Oriental Dragon and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Oriental Dragon.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Amora.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Oriental Dragon x Amora
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
Our tips are also on YouTube
Our tipsters are also on our betting tips channel on YouTube analysing the main bets for Saturday. Right above you can check our latest predictions and do not forget to subscribe to our channel!
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
