Orihuela x UCAM Murcia CF Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4
| 📅 29/9/2024 13:30 |
 Orihuela2.45 |
X 2.87 |
UCAM Murcia CF  2.80 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Orihuela x UCAM Murcia CF:
🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1435.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Orihuela x UCAM Murcia CF: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Orihuela in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-305.0. |
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Analysis from Orihuela x UCAM Murcia CF for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 – 29 of September
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🏟️ Orihuela X UCAM Murcia CF – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Orihuela x UCAM Murcia CF right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Orihuela x UCAM Murcia CF
Is it worth betting on Orihuela?
🔵 Orihuela: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.28% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.45. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $348.00;
- And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$412.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 40.9% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.87. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 410 times – profiting $766.70;
- And would lose other 590 times – losing -$590.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$176.70.
Should you bet on UCAM Murcia CF?
🔴 UCAM Murcia CF: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.82% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 350 times – this would give you a profit of $630.00
- And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$20.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Orihuela x UCAM Murcia CF
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Orihuela
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Orihuela x UCAM Murcia CF
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Orihuela and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Orihuela.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 UCAM Murcia CF.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Orihuela x UCAM Murcia CF
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
