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Home » Predictions » Others » Orihuela x Xerez Deportivo FC Betting tips for February 2 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4
Sunday, 02 February 2025, 16h00 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4
Orihuela Orihuela
PREDICTION No tip
Xerez Deportivo FC Xerez Deportivo FC
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Orihuela x Xerez Deportivo FC Betting tips for February 2 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4

Our betting tip for Orihuela x Xerez Deportivo FC, Sunday, 2/2/2025
📅 2/2/2025
16:00
Orihuela Orihuela
2.05
X
2.70
Xerez Deportivo FC Xerez Deportivo FC
4.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Orihuela x Xerez Deportivo FC:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Orihuela x Xerez Deportivo FC

Important information for your tip for Orihuela x Xerez Deportivo FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Orihuela in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-320.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Xerez Deportivo FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-160.0.
👉 In the last 3 Orihuela matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Orihuela x Xerez Deportivo FC, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Orihuela x Xerez Deportivo FC for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 – 2 of February

🏟️ Orihuela X Xerez Deportivo FC – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4
📅 2 of February, 2025 – 16:00
🔵 Orihuela – Winning probability: 50.36% | Fair line: 1.99
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 34.82% | Fair line: 2.87
🔴 Xerez Deportivo FC – Winning probability: 14.82% | Fair line: 6.75
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Orihuela
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Orihuela x Xerez Deportivo FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1255121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Orihuela x Xerez Deportivo FC

Should you bet on Orihuela?

🔵 Orihuela: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 50.36%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 500 times – this would give you a profit of $525.00
  • And would lose other 500 times – losing -$500.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$25.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.82% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 350 times – this would give you a profit of $595.00
  • And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$55.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it a good idea to bet on Xerez Deportivo FC?

🔴 Xerez Deportivo FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.82%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $450.00;
  • And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$400.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Orihuela x Xerez Deportivo FC

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Orihuela
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Orihuela x Xerez Deportivo FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Orihuela and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Orihuela.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Orihuela x Xerez Deportivo FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 1.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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