Orvietana x Poggibonsi Betting tips for March 9 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for Orvietana x Poggibonsi, Sunday, 9/3/2025

📅 9/3/2025 13:30

Orvietana 2.20

X 3.24

Poggibonsi 2.88

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Orvietana x Poggibonsi:

🔮 Tied Match
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Some important points for the tip for Orvietana x Poggibonsi: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Orvietana in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $115.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Poggibonsi in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-327.0. 👉 Poggibonsi did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team. 👉 In the last 3 Poggibonsi matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Orvietana conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Orvietana x Poggibonsi?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Orvietana x Poggibonsi:

Analysis from Orvietana x Poggibonsi for the Italy Serie D – 9 of March

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Orvietana and Poggibonsi.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1277138 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Orvietana x Poggibonsi

Should you bet on Orvietana?

🔵 Orvietana: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 36.37% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 360 times – profiting $432.00;
• And would lose other 640 times – having a loss of -$640.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$208.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 33.03%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.24. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $739.20
• And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$69.20.

Is it worth betting on Poggibonsi?

🔴 Poggibonsi: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.6% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.88. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 310 times – profiting $582.80;
• And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$107.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Orvietana x Poggibonsi

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Orvietana
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Orvietana x Poggibonsi

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Orvietana, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Orvietana.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Orvietana x Poggibonsi

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.25 goals.