Ourense x Lugo Betting tips for January 11 in Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1

Our betting tip for Ourense x Lugo, Saturday, 11/1/2025

📅 11/1/2025 16:30

Ourense 2.28

X 3.00

Lugo 2.96

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Ourense x Lugo:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Ourense x Lugo

The main points for the tip for Ourense x Lugo: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Ourense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $875.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lugo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-245.0. 👉 Lugo did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team. 👉 In the last 6 Lugo matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Ourense x Lugo?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Ourense x Lugo for the Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 – 11 of January

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Ourense x Lugo right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1244516 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Ourense x Lugo

Is betting on Ourense worth it?

🔵 Ourense: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 41.81% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.28. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 420 times – profiting $537.60;
• And would have lost other 580 times – with a loss of -$580.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$42.40.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.82%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $660.00;
• And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$10.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Lugo?

🔴 Lugo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.38% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.96. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 250 times – profiting $490.00;
• And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$260.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Ourense x Lugo

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Ourense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ourense x Lugo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Ourense, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Ourense.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Ourense.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ourense x Lugo

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.