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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Oviedo x Elche Betting tips for March 14 in Spain Segunda
Friday, 14 March 2025, 19h30 Spain Segunda
Oviedo Oviedo
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 39% 1 X 2
Elche Elche
ODD: @3 Don't miss this prediction!

Oviedo x Elche Betting tips for March 14 in Spain Segunda

Our betting tip for Oviedo x Elche, Friday, 14/3/2025
๐Ÿ“… 14/3/2025
19:30
Oviedo Oviedo
2.25
X
3.00
Elche Elche
3.30

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Oviedo x Elche:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1500.00!

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Important information for your tip for Oviedo x Elche:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Oviedo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-155.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Elche in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-230.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Elche conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Oviedo conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Elche.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Elche is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 4 away matches, it had at least 61.00% of possession.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Oviedo x Elche?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Oviedo x Elche, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Oviedo x Elche for the Spain Segunda – 14 of March

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Oviedo X Elche – Spain Segunda
๐Ÿ“… 14 of March, 2025 – 19:30
๐Ÿ”ต Oviedo – Winning probability: 41.21% | Fair line: 2.43
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 39.62% | Fair line: 2.52
๐Ÿ”ด Elche – Winning probability: 19.16% | Fair line: 5.22
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Oviedo
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Oviedo x Elche is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1281036 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Oviedo x Elche

Is it worth betting on Oviedo?

๐Ÿ”ต Oviedo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 41.21% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 410 times – profiting $512.50;
  • And would lose other 590 times – having a loss of -$590.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$77.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 39.62%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 400 times – having a profit of $800.00;
  • And would lose other 600 times – losing -$600.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$200.00.

Should you bet on Elche?

๐Ÿ”ด Elche: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.16% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – profiting $437.00;
  • And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$373.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Oviedo x Elche

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Oviedo
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Oviedo x Elche

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Oviedo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Oviedo. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Oviedo x Elche

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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