Oviedo x Sporting Gijon Betting tips for January 11 in Spain Segunda

Our betting tip for Oviedo x Sporting Gijon, Saturday, 11/1/2025

📅 11/1/2025 20:00

Oviedo 1.98

X 3.10

Sporting Gijon 3.85

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Oviedo x Sporting Gijon:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Oviedo x Sporting Gijon

The main points for the tip for Oviedo x Sporting Gijon: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Oviedo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $38.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sporting Gijon in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-225.0. 👉 In the last 6 Sporting Gijon matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Oviedo x Sporting Gijon, with Oviedo as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Sporting Gijon conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Oviedo has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Sporting Gijon playing at home.

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Analysis from Oviedo x Sporting Gijon for the Spain Segunda – 11 of January

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Oviedo and Sporting Gijon.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1244516 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Oviedo x Sporting Gijon

Is it worth betting on Oviedo?

🔵 Oviedo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 47.25%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.98. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 470 times – having a profit of $460.60;
• And would lose other 530 times – having a loss of -$530.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$69.40.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.8% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $588.00;
• And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$132.00.

Should you bet on Sporting Gijon?

🔴 Sporting Gijon: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.94% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.85. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $712.50;
• And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$37.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Oviedo x Sporting Gijon

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Oviedo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Oviedo x Sporting Gijon

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Oviedo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Oviedo.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Sporting Gijon.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Oviedo x Sporting Gijon

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.