Oxford Utd x Swansea Betting tips for November 2 in England Championship
π
2/11/2024 12:30 |
Oxford Utd 2.62 |
X 3.15 |
Swansea 2.74 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Oxford Utd x Swansea:
π Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Oxford Utd x Swansea
The main points for the tip for Oxford Utd x Swansea: π If you had bet $100 on Oxford Utd in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $45.0. |
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Analysis from Oxford Utd x Swansea for the England Championship – 2 of November
ποΈ Oxford Utd X Swansea – England Championship |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Oxford Utd and Swansea.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1213968 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Oxford Utd x Swansea
Should you bet on Oxford Utd?
π΅ Oxford Utd: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.68%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.62. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $502.20;
- And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of π°-$187.80.
Is it worth betting on draw?
βͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.21%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $602.00;
- And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$118.00.
Should you bet on Swansea?
π΄ Swansea: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 41.12% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.74. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 410 times – having a profit of $713.40;
- And would have lost other 590 times – with a loss of -$590.00 because of them.
It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just π°$123.40. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!
Handicaps analysis for the match Oxford Utd x Swansea
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
β Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Oxford Utd
β½ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Oxford Utd x Swansea
β Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Oxford Utd and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Oxford Utd.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Swansea.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Oxford Utd x Swansea
β½ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.