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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Oxford Utd x Swansea Betting tips for November 2 in England Championship
Saturday, 02 November 2024, 12h30 England Championship
Oxford Utd Oxford Utd
PREDICTION No tip
Swansea Swansea
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Oxford Utd x Swansea Betting tips for November 2 in England Championship

Our betting tip for Oxford Utd x Swansea, Saturday, 2/11/2024
πŸ“… 2/11/2024
12:30
Oxford Utd Oxford Utd
2.62
X
3.15
Swansea Swansea
2.74

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Oxford Utd x Swansea:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Oxford Utd x Swansea

The main points for the tip for Oxford Utd x Swansea:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Oxford Utd in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $45.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Swansea in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-50.0.
πŸ‘‰ Swansea did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against Swansea, Oxford Utd scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 Oxford Utd matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Swansea matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ Swansea is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 3 away matches, it had at least 62.00% of possession.
πŸ‘‰ Oxford Utd has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Swansea playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Oxford Utd x Swansea?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Oxford Utd x Swansea:

Analysis from Oxford Utd x Swansea for the England Championship – 2 of November

🏟️ Oxford Utd X Swansea – England Championship
πŸ“… 2 of November, 2024 – 12:30
πŸ”΅ Oxford Utd – Winning probability: 30.68% | Fair line: 3.26
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.21% | Fair line: 3.55
πŸ”΄ Swansea – Winning probability: 41.12% | Fair line: 2.43
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Oxford Utd
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Oxford Utd and Swansea.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1213968 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Oxford Utd x Swansea

Should you bet on Oxford Utd?

πŸ”΅ Oxford Utd: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.68%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.62. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $502.20;
  • And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$187.80.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.21%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $602.00;
  • And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$118.00.

Should you bet on Swansea?

πŸ”΄ Swansea: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 41.12% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.74. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 410 times – having a profit of $713.40;
  • And would have lost other 590 times – with a loss of -$590.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$123.40. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

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Handicaps analysis for the match Oxford Utd x Swansea

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Oxford Utd
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Oxford Utd x Swansea

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Oxford Utd and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Oxford Utd.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Swansea.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Oxford Utd x Swansea

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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