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22/1/2022 12:30 |
 Paderborn2.87 |
X 3.42 |
Werder Bremen  2.30 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Paderborn x Werder Bremen:
๐ฎ Werder Bremen wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Werder Bremen, you can win up to $1150.00!
๐ You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Paderborn x Werder Bremen
Looking for another bookie to bet on Paderborn x Werder Bremen?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Paderborn x Werder Bremen, no problem. Right below you have the bookies that we used the most in 2022. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Paderborn x Werder Bremen for the Germany Bundesliga II – 22 of January
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๐๏ธ Paderborn X Werder Bremen – Germany Bundesliga II |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Paderborn and Werder Bremen.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 290605 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Paderborn x Werder Bremen
Is it a good idea to bet on Paderborn?
๐ต Paderborn: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.16% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.87. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 200 times – profiting $374.00;
- And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$426.00.
Should you bet on draw?
โช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.59% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.42. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $556.60;
- And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$213.40.
Is it a good idea to bet on Werder Bremen?
๐ด Werder Bremen: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 57.25% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 570 times – profiting $741.00;
- And would have lost other 430 times – with a loss of -$430.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐ฐ$311.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Paderborn x Werder Bremen
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Paderborn
โฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Paderborn x Werder Bremen
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Paderborn, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Paderborn.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Werder Bremen.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Paderborn x Werder Bremen
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
You can check out our tips on YouTube
Keep in mind that our team of bettors is daily on YouTube with complete videos of analysis for the best matches of the day. Check out our bets for this Saturday right above and subscribe to our betting tips channel.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
