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Home » Predictions » Others » Padova x ASD Union Arzignanochiampo Betting tips for January 12 in Italy Serie C Group A
Sunday, 12 January 2025, 14h00 Italy Serie C Group A
Padova Padova
PREDICTION Padova wins Probability 87% 1 X 2
ASD Union Arzignanochiampo ASD Union Arzignanochiampo
ODD: @1.33 Don't miss this prediction!

Padova x ASD Union Arzignanochiampo Betting tips for January 12 in Italy Serie C Group A

Our betting tip for Padova x ASD Union Arzignanochiampo, Sunday, 12/1/2025
📅 12/1/2025
14:00
Padova Padova
1.33
X
4.50
ASD Union Arzignanochiampo ASD Union Arzignanochiampo
8.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Padova x ASD Union Arzignanochiampo:

🔮 Padova wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Padova, you can win up to $665.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Padova x ASD Union Arzignanochiampo:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Padova in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-74.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on ASD Union Arzignanochiampo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-30.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Padova scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, ASD Union Arzignanochiampo scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against ASD Union Arzignanochiampo, Padova scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, ASD Union Arzignanochiampo conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Padova is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 In the last 6 road matches, ASD Union Arzignanochiampo has not lost any of them.
👉 Padova has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against ASD Union Arzignanochiampo playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Padova x ASD Union Arzignanochiampo for the Italy Serie C Group A – 12 of January

🏟️ Padova X ASD Union Arzignanochiampo – Italy Serie C Group A
📅 12 of January, 2025 – 14:00
🔵 Padova – Winning probability: 87.66% | Fair line: 1.14
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 10.13% | Fair line: 9.87
🔴 ASD Union Arzignanochiampo – Winning probability: 2.20% | Fair line: 45.38
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Padova
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Padova x ASD Union Arzignanochiampo right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244844 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Padova x ASD Union Arzignanochiampo

Is it a good idea to bet on Padova?

🔵 Padova: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 87.66%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.33. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 880 times – this would give you a profit of $290.40
  • And would lose other 120 times – having a loss of -$120.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$170.40.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.13% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 100 times – this would give you a profit of $350.00
  • And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$550.00.

Is it worth betting on ASD Union Arzignanochiampo?

🔴 ASD Union Arzignanochiampo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 2.2% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 8.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 20 times – having a profit of $140.00;
  • And would have lost other 980 times – with a loss of -$980.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$840.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Padova x ASD Union Arzignanochiampo

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Padova
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Padova x ASD Union Arzignanochiampo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Padova and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Padova.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 ASD Union Arzignanochiampo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Padova x ASD Union Arzignanochiampo

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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