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Home » Predictions » Others » Pafos FC x AEL Limassol Betting tips for January 6 in Cyprus Division 1
Monday, 06 January 2025, 17h00 Cyprus Division 1
Pafos FC Pafos FC
PREDICTION AEL Limassol Wins Probability 13% 1 X 2
AEL Limassol AEL Limassol
ODD: @9.73 Don't miss this prediction!

Pafos FC x AEL Limassol Betting tips for January 6 in Cyprus Division 1

Our betting tip for Pafos FC x AEL Limassol, Monday, 6/1/2025
📅 6/1/2025
17:00
Pafos FC Pafos FC
1.24
X
5.39
AEL Limassol AEL Limassol
9.73

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Pafos FC x AEL Limassol:

🔮 AEL Limassol wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on AEL Limassol, you can win up to $4865.00!

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Important information for your tip for Pafos FC x AEL Limassol:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Pafos FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-2.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on AEL Limassol in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-382.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against AEL Limassol, Pafos FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Pafos FC matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 road matches, AEL Limassol has not lost any of them.
👉 Pafos FC has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against AEL Limassol.

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Summary

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Analysis from Pafos FC x AEL Limassol for the Cyprus Division 1 – 6 of January

🏟️ Pafos FC X AEL Limassol – Cyprus Division 1
📅 6 of January, 2025 – 17:00
🔵 Pafos FC – Winning probability: 77.21% | Fair line: 1.3
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 9.46% | Fair line: 10.58
🔴 AEL Limassol – Winning probability: 13.33% | Fair line: 7.5
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Pafos FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Pafos FC x AEL Limassol right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1242357 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Pafos FC x AEL Limassol

Should you bet on Pafos FC?

🔵 Pafos FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 77.21% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.24. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 770 times – this would give you a profit of $184.80
  • And would lose other 230 times – losing -$230.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$45.20.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 9.46% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.39. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 90 times – having a profit of $395.10;
  • And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$514.90.

Is it a good idea to bet on AEL Limassol?

🔴 AEL Limassol: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.33% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 9.73. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $1134.90
  • And would lose other 870 times – losing -$870.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$264.90.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Pafos FC x AEL Limassol

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Pafos FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Pafos FC x AEL Limassol

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 Pafos FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.5 Pafos FC. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Pafos FC x AEL Limassol

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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