Pafos FC x Aris Limassol Betting tips for September 29 in Cyprus Division 1

Our betting tip for Pafos FC x Aris Limassol, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 13:00

Pafos FC 2.01

X 3.25

Aris Limassol 3.20

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Pafos FC x Aris Limassol:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Pafos FC x Aris Limassol

The main points for the tip for Pafos FC x Aris Limassol: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Pafos FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $234.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Aris Limassol in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $43.0. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Pafos FC scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Aris Limassol scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Aris Limassol, Pafos FC scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 Pafos FC matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Pafos FC is good playing home: it has 5 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 In the last 6 road matches, Aris Limassol has not lost any of them. 👉 Pafos FC has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Aris Limassol playing at home.

Looking for another bookie to bet on Pafos FC x Aris Limassol?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Pafos FC x Aris Limassol for the Cyprus Division 1 – 29 of September

When the best bet on Pafos FC x Aris Limassol is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Pafos FC x Aris Limassol

Is betting on Pafos FC worth it?

🔵 Pafos FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 41.28%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.01. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 410 times – profiting $414.10;
• And would lose other 590 times – having a loss of -$590.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$175.90.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.73%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 300 times – profiting $675.00;
• And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$25.00.

Is it worth betting on Aris Limassol?

🔴 Aris Limassol: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.99% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $638.00;
• And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$72.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Pafos FC x Aris Limassol

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Pafos FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Pafos FC x Aris Limassol

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Pafos FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Pafos FC.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Aris Limassol.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Pafos FC x Aris Limassol

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.