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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Paide Linnameeskond x JK Nomme Kalju Betting tips for March 9 in Estonia Meistriliiga
Sunday, 09 March 2025, 12h30 Estonia Meistriliiga
Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond
PREDICTION No tip
JK Nomme Kalju JK Nomme Kalju
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Paide Linnameeskond x JK Nomme Kalju Betting tips for March 9 in Estonia Meistriliiga

Our betting tip for Paide Linnameeskond x JK Nomme Kalju, Sunday, 9/3/2025
πŸ“… 9/3/2025
12:30
Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond
2.10
X
3.41
JK Nomme Kalju JK Nomme Kalju
2.95

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Paide Linnameeskond x JK Nomme Kalju:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Paide Linnameeskond x JK Nomme Kalju

Some important points for the tip for Paide Linnameeskond x JK Nomme Kalju:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Paide Linnameeskond in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $38.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on JK Nomme Kalju in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-69.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Paide Linnameeskond scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Paide Linnameeskond conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against JK Nomme Kalju.

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Summary

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Analysis from Paide Linnameeskond x JK Nomme Kalju for the Estonia Meistriliiga – 9 of March

🏟️ Paide Linnameeskond X JK Nomme Kalju – Estonia Meistriliiga
πŸ“… 9 of March, 2025 – 12:30
πŸ”΅ Paide Linnameeskond – Winning probability: 46.42% | Fair line: 2.15
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.05% | Fair line: 4.34
πŸ”΄ JK Nomme Kalju – Winning probability: 30.53% | Fair line: 3.28
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Paide Linnameeskond
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Paide Linnameeskond x JK Nomme Kalju is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1277138 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Paide Linnameeskond x JK Nomme Kalju

Is it worth betting on Paide Linnameeskond?

πŸ”΅ Paide Linnameeskond: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 46.42% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 460 times – profiting $506.00;
  • And would lose other 540 times – having a loss of -$540.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$34.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.05% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.41. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $554.30
  • And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$215.70.

Is betting on JK Nomme Kalju worth it?

πŸ”΄ JK Nomme Kalju: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.53% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $604.50;
  • And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$85.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Paide Linnameeskond x JK Nomme Kalju

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Paide Linnameeskond
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Paide Linnameeskond x JK Nomme Kalju

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Paide Linnameeskond and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Paide Linnameeskond.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 JK Nomme Kalju.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Paide Linnameeskond x JK Nomme Kalju

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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