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Home » Predictions » Others » Palermo x Cremonese Betting tips for March 14 in Italy Serie B
Friday, 14 March 2025, 19h30 Italy Serie B
Palermo Palermo
PREDICTION Cremonese Wins Probability 40% 1 X 2
Cremonese Cremonese
ODD: @2.7 Don't miss this prediction!

Palermo x Cremonese Betting tips for March 14 in Italy Serie B

Our betting tip for Palermo x Cremonese, Friday, 14/3/2025
📅 14/3/2025
19:30
Palermo Palermo
2.62
X
3.03
Cremonese Cremonese
2.70

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Palermo x Cremonese:

🔮 Cremonese wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Cremonese, you can win up to $1350.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Palermo x Cremonese:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Palermo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $85.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Cremonese in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-15.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Palermo scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Cremonese, Palermo scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Cremonese conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Palermo conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Cremonese.
👉 Palermo has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Cremonese playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Palermo x Cremonese for the Italy Serie B – 14 of March

🏟️ Palermo X Cremonese – Italy Serie B
📅 14 of March, 2025 – 19:30
🔵 Palermo – Winning probability: 33.73% | Fair line: 2.96
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.01% | Fair line: 3.85
🔴 Cremonese – Winning probability: 40.26% | Fair line: 2.48
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Palermo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Palermo x Cremonese right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1281036 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Palermo x Cremonese

Is it a good idea to bet on Palermo?

🔵 Palermo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 33.73%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.62. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $550.80
  • And would have lost other 660 times – with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$109.20.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.01% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.03. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – profiting $527.80;
  • And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$212.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on Cremonese?

🔴 Cremonese: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 40.26% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 400 times – having a profit of $680.00;
  • And would have lost other 600 times – with a loss of -$600.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$80.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Palermo x Cremonese

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Palermo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Palermo x Cremonese

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Palermo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Palermo.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Palermo x Cremonese

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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