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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Palermo x Spezia Betting tips for December 1 in Italy Serie B
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 14h00 Italy Serie B
Palermo Palermo
PREDICTION No tip
Spezia Spezia
Don't miss this prediction!

Palermo x Spezia Betting tips for December 1 in Italy Serie B

Our betting tip for Palermo x Spezia, Sunday, 1/12/2024
πŸ“… 1/12/2024
14:00
Palermo Palermo
2.24
X
3.10
Spezia Spezia
3.25

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Palermo x Spezia:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Palermo x Spezia

Some important points for the tip for Palermo x Spezia:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Palermo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-330.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Spezia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $55.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Spezia scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against Spezia, Palermo scored at least 2 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 Palermo matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 8 road matches, Spezia has not lost any of them.
πŸ‘‰ Palermo has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Spezia playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Palermo x Spezia for the Italy Serie B – 1 of December

🏟️ Palermo X Spezia – Italy Serie B
πŸ“… 1 of December, 2024 – 14:00
πŸ”΅ Palermo – Winning probability: 40.33% | Fair line: 2.48
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.19% | Fair line: 3.43
πŸ”΄ Spezia – Winning probability: 30.48% | Fair line: 3.28
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Palermo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Palermo x Spezia is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1230121 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Palermo x Spezia

Is betting on Palermo worth it?

πŸ”΅ Palermo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 40.33% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.24. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 400 times – having a profit of $496.00;
  • And would have lost other 600 times – with a loss of -$600.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$104.00.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.19% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – profiting $609.00;
  • And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$101.00.

Is it worth betting on Spezia?

πŸ”΄ Spezia: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.48% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – profiting $675.00;
  • And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$25.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Palermo x Spezia

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Palermo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Palermo x Spezia

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Palermo, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Palermo.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Palermo x Spezia

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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