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Home » Predictions » Others » Palestino x Union La Calera Betting tips for April 14 in Chile Liga de Primera
Monday, 14 April 2025, 19h00 Chile Liga de Primera
Palestino Palestino
PREDICTION Palestino wins Probability 57% 1 X 2
Union La Calera Union La Calera
ODD: @1.9 Don't miss this prediction!

Palestino x Union La Calera Betting tips for April 14 in Chile Liga de Primera

Our betting tip for Palestino x Union La Calera, Monday, 14/4/2025
📅 14/4/2025
19:00
Palestino Palestino
1.90
X
3.40
Union La Calera Union La Calera
3.80

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Palestino x Union La Calera:

🔮 Palestino wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Palestino, you can win up to $950.00!

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Important information for your tip for Palestino x Union La Calera:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Palestino in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $327.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Union La Calera in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $15.0.
👉 In the last 3 Palestino matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 Union La Calera matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Palestino x Union La Calera, with Palestino as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Palestino has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Union La Calera playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Palestino x Union La Calera?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Palestino x Union La Calera for the Chile Liga de Primera – 14 of April

🏟️ Palestino X Union La Calera – Chile Liga de Primera
📅 14 of April, 2025 – 19:00
🔵 Palestino – Winning probability: 57.70% | Fair line: 1.73
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.87% | Fair line: 4.02
🔴 Union La Calera – Winning probability: 17.43% | Fair line: 5.74
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Palestino
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Palestino x Union La Calera is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1303016 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Palestino x Union La Calera

Is it a good idea to bet on Palestino?

🔵 Palestino: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 57.7% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 580 times – profiting $522.00;
  • And would have lost other 420 times – with a loss of -$420.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$102.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.87% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – profiting $600.00;
  • And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$150.00.

Is betting on Union La Calera worth it?

🔴 Union La Calera: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.43% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $476.00
  • And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$354.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Palestino x Union La Calera

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Palestino
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Palestino x Union La Calera

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Palestino, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Palestino. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Palestino x Union La Calera

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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