📊 You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Panathinaikos x Olympiakos
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Analysis from Panathinaikos x Olympiakos for the Greece Super League 1 – 16 of January
🏟️ Panathinaikos X Olympiakos – Greece Super League 1
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Panathinaikos x Olympiakos right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 288253 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Panathinaikos x Olympiakos
Is betting on Panathinaikos worth it?
🔵 Panathinaikos: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.08% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $780.00;
- And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$40.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 35.45%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $787.50;
- And would lose other 650 times – having a loss of -$650.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$137.50.
Is it worth betting on Olympiakos?
🔴 Olympiakos: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 38.47% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.86. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 380 times – profiting $326.80;
- And would lose other 620 times – having a loss of -$620.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$293.20.
Handicaps analysis for the match Panathinaikos x Olympiakos
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Panathinaikos
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Panathinaikos x Olympiakos
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Panathinaikos, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Panathinaikos.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 Panathinaikos.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Panathinaikos x Olympiakos
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
Follow our tips on YouTube too
Our tipsters are also on our betting tips channel on YouTube analysing the main bets for Sunday. Right above you can check our latest predictions and do not forget to subscribe to our channel!
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves