📊 Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Panetolikos x Olympiakos
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Analysis from Panetolikos x Olympiakos for the Greece Cup – 19 of January
🏟️ Panetolikos X Olympiakos – Greece Cup
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Panetolikos x Olympiakos right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 289741 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Panetolikos x Olympiakos
Should you bet on Panetolikos?
🔵 Panetolikos: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 1.56% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 8.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 20 times – having a profit of $140.00;
- And would lose other 980 times – having a loss of -$980.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$840.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 6.32% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 60 times – profiting $204.00;
- And would lose other 940 times – having a loss of -$940.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$736.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Olympiakos?
🔴 Olympiakos: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 92.12% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.34. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 920 times – having a profit of $312.80;
- And would lose other 80 times – having a loss of -$80.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$232.80.
Handicaps analysis for the match Panetolikos x Olympiakos
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.5 Panetolikos
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Panetolikos x Olympiakos
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.5 Panetolikos and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.25 Panetolikos.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Olympiakos.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Panetolikos x Olympiakos
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves