Panevezys x Suduva Marijampole Betting tips for July 7 in Lithuania A Lyga
| 📅 7/7/2025 16:00 |
 Panevezys2.30 |
X 3.10 |
Suduva Marijampole  2.78 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Panevezys x Suduva Marijampole:
🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1550.00!
The main points for the tip for Panevezys x Suduva Marijampole:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Panevezys in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $105.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Suduva Marijampole in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $165.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Panevezys scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Suduva Marijampole scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Panevezys x Suduva Marijampole, with Panevezys as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 road matches, Suduva Marijampole has not lost any of them.
👉 Panevezys has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Suduva Marijampole playing at home.
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Analysis from Panevezys x Suduva Marijampole for the Lithuania A Lyga – 7 of July
🏟️ Panevezys X Suduva Marijampole – Lithuania A Lyga
📅 7 of July, 2025 – 16:00
🔵 Panevezys – Winning probability: 34.75% | Fair line: 2.88
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.30% | Fair line: 3.1
🔴 Suduva Marijampole – Winning probability: 32.96% | Fair line: 3.03
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Panevezys
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks
When the best bet on Panevezys x Suduva Marijampole is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1349183 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Panevezys x Suduva Marijampole
Is it worth betting on Panevezys?
🔵 Panevezys: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.75% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $455.00;
- And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$195.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.3%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 320 times – profiting $672.00;
- And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$8.00.
Is betting on Suduva Marijampole worth it?
🔴 Suduva Marijampole: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.96% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.78. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $587.40
- And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$82.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match Panevezys x Suduva Marijampole
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Panevezys
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Panevezys x Suduva Marijampole
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Panevezys and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Panevezys.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Suduva Marijampole.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Panevezys x Suduva Marijampole
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
