Parana x Maringa FC Betting tips for February 4 in Brazil Campeonato Paranaense
| 📅 4/2/2025 23:00 |
 Parana2.60 |
X 3.40 |
Maringa FC  2.35 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Parana x Maringa FC:
🔮 Tied Match
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The main points for the tip for Parana x Maringa FC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Parana in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-197.0. |
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Analysis from Parana x Maringa FC for the Brazil Campeonato Paranaense – 4 of February
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🏟️ Parana X Maringa FC – Brazil Campeonato Paranaense |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Parana and Maringa FC.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1257615 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Parana x Maringa FC
Should you bet on Parana?
🔵 Parana: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.54% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $400.00
- And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$350.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.09% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $792.00;
- And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$122.00.
Is betting on Maringa FC worth it?
🔴 Maringa FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 42.37% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.35. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 420 times – this would give you a profit of $567.00
- And would lose other 580 times – losing -$580.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$13.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Parana x Maringa FC
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Parana
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Parana x Maringa FC
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Parana, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Parana.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Maringa FC.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Parana x Maringa FC
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
