Paredes x SC Vianense Betting tips for November 30 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional
| 📅 30/11/2024 15:00 |
 Paredes1.90 |
X 3.40 |
SC Vianense  3.40 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Paredes x SC Vianense:
🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1700.00!
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The main points for the tip for Paredes x SC Vianense: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Paredes in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $142.0. |
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Analysis from Paredes x SC Vianense for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 30 of November
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🏟️ Paredes X SC Vianense – Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Paredes x SC Vianense right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229690 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Paredes x SC Vianense
Should you bet on Paredes?
🔵 Paredes: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 51.74%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 520 times – profiting $468.00;
- And would lose other 480 times – having a loss of -$480.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$12.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.19% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $768.00;
- And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$88.00.
Should you bet on SC Vianense?
🔴 SC Vianense: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.08%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 160 times – profiting $384.00;
- And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$456.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Paredes x SC Vianense
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Paredes
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Paredes x SC Vianense
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Paredes and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Paredes.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 SC Vianense.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Paredes x SC Vianense
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.
