π
26/12/2021 11:30 |
![]() 1.80 |
X 3.50 |
Crotone ![]() 4.05 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Parma x Crotone:
π Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Parma x Crotone
π You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Parma x Crotone
Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Parma x Crotone?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Parma x Crotone, no problem. Right below you have the bookies that we used the most in 2021. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Parma x Crotone for the Italy Serie B – 26 of December
ποΈ Parma X Crotone – Italy Serie B |
When the best bet on Parma x Crotone is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 281997 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Parma x Crotone
Is it a good idea to bet on Parma?
π΅ Parma: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 54.2%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 540 times – having a profit of $432.00;
- And would lose other 460 times – having a loss of -$460.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of π°-$28.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
βͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.1%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 220 times – profiting $550.00;
- And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$230.00.
Is betting on Crotone worth it?
π΄ Crotone: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.7%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 240 times – profiting $732.00;
- And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$28.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Parma x Crotone
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
β Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Parma
β½ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the market Handicap 1×2 for Parma x Crotone
β Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Parma and the available handicap to bet at that moment is -0.5 Parma.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Crotone.
Tips for the market Goals Handicap for Parma x Crotone
β½ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicapmarket.
Follow our tips on YouTube too
Our tipsters are also on our betting tips channel on YouTube analysing the main bets for Sunday. Right above you can check our latest predictions and do not forget to subscribe to our channel!
Receive daily tips on your cellphone
Aside from our tips for Parma x Crotone generated by our algorithm, you can also receive on your cellphone bets made by the experts from Clube da Aposta on this Sunday. Click on the banner below and join our VIP group on Telegram right now. And the best part: for free!
Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves