📊 Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Parma x Frosinone
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Analysis from Parma x Frosinone for the Italy Serie B – 21 of January
🏟️ Parma X Frosinone – Italy Serie B
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Parma and Frosinone.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 290581 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Parma x Frosinone
Is it worth betting on Parma?
🔵 Parma: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.95%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.31. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $275.62
- And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$514.38.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.03% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.14. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $535.00
- And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$215.00.
Is it worth betting on Frosinone?
🔴 Frosinone: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 54.02% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.98. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 540 times – profiting $1071.90;
- And would lose other 460 times – having a loss of -$460.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$611.90.
Handicaps analysis for the match Parma x Frosinone
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Parma
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Parma x Frosinone
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Parma and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Parma.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Parma x Frosinone
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves