📊 Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Partick x Airdrieonians
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Analysis from Partick x Airdrieonians for the Scotland FA Cup – 22 of January
🏟️ Partick X Airdrieonians – Scotland FA Cup
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Partick x Airdrieonians right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 290605 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Partick x Airdrieonians
Is it a good idea to bet on Partick?
🔵 Partick: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 68.28%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 680 times – having a profit of $510.00;
- And would lose other 320 times – having a loss of -$320.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$190.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.14% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $416.00
- And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$424.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Airdrieonians?
🔴 Airdrieonians: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.58% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.31. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $529.60
- And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$310.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match Partick x Airdrieonians
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Partick
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Partick x Airdrieonians
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Partick and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Partick.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Airdrieonians.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Partick x Airdrieonians
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves