Pasaia KE x CD Derio Betting tips for November 30 in Spain Tercera Group 4

Our betting tip for Pasaia KE x CD Derio, Saturday, 30/11/2024

📅 30/11/2024 15:30

Pasaia KE 1.92

X 3.30

CD Derio 3.54

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Pasaia KE x CD Derio:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Pasaia KE x CD Derio

The main points for the tip for Pasaia KE x CD Derio: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Pasaia KE in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $535.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Derio in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $130.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Pasaia KE scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 CD Derio matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Pasaia KE is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Pasaia KE x CD Derio?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Pasaia KE x CD Derio:

Analysis from Pasaia KE x CD Derio for the Spain Tercera Group 4 – 30 of November

When the best bet on Pasaia KE x CD Derio is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229690 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Pasaia KE x CD Derio

Should you bet on Pasaia KE?

🔵 Pasaia KE: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 47.28% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.92. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 470 times – profiting $432.40;
• And would lose other 530 times – having a loss of -$530.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$97.60.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.76%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $644.00
• And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$76.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on CD Derio?

🔴 CD Derio: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.96% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.54. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $635.00
• And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$115.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Pasaia KE x CD Derio

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Pasaia KE
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Pasaia KE x CD Derio

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Pasaia KE, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Pasaia KE.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 CD Derio.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Pasaia KE x CD Derio

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.