Paysandu x Botafogo SP Betting tips for June 14 in Brazil Serie B
| 📅 14/6/2025 00:35 |
 Paysandu1.82 |
X 3.30 |
Botafogo SP  4.45 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Paysandu x Botafogo SP:
🔮 Paysandu wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Paysandu, you can win up to $910.00!
The main points for the tip for Paysandu x Botafogo SP:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Paysandu in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Botafogo SP in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $250.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Botafogo SP conceded at least 1 goal(s).
🤖 Critical insight from ChatGPT on the prediction for Paysandu vs Botafogo SP:
In the analysis of the match between Paysandu and Botafogo SP, the fair probabilities calculated from the median odds indicate a slight advantage for Paysandu with about a 51% chance of winning, followed by a draw at 28%, and the visitors victory around 21%. Recent statistics show that Paysandu has a weak home performance, with no wins in the last five games, but maintains a balanced average of goals scored and conceded. Meanwhile, Botafogo SP away has similar offensive results but concedes more goals. Paysandu also shows higher offensive volume and ball possession in recent matches.
The Bets Kenya model suggests betting on the home team with a positive expected value above 20%, indicating a good opportunity. I agree with this assessment because the final odds favor Paysandus victory (odds ~1.83) based on their recent history and the visitors poorer away performance. There are no relevant news items that alter this scenario. Therefore, my recommendation is to bet on Paysandus victory as the best option for this match ⚽📊.
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Analysis from Paysandu x Botafogo SP for the Brazil Serie B – 14 of June
🏟️ Paysandu X Botafogo SP – Brazil Serie B
📅 14 of June, 2025 – 00:35
🔵 Paysandu – Winning probability: 62.52% | Fair line: 1.6
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.33% | Fair line: 4.29
🔴 Botafogo SP – Winning probability: 14.15% | Fair line: 7.07
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Paysandu
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks
When the best bet on Paysandu x Botafogo SP is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1340108 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Paysandu x Botafogo SP
Is it worth betting on Paysandu?
🔵 Paysandu: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 62.52% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.82. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 630 times – profiting $516.60;
- And would lose other 370 times – having a loss of -$370.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$146.60.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.33% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $529.00;
- And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$241.00.
Is it worth betting on Botafogo SP?
🔴 Botafogo SP: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.15%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $483.00;
- And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$377.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Paysandu x Botafogo SP
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Paysandu
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Paysandu x Botafogo SP
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Paysandu and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Paysandu.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Paysandu.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Paysandu x Botafogo SP
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
