Paysandu x Chapecoense Betting tips for April 16 in Brazil Serie B

Our betting tip for Paysandu x Chapecoense, Wednesday, 16/4/2025

📅 16/4/2025 23:00

Paysandu 1.80

X 3.40

Chapecoense 4.36

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Paysandu x Chapecoense:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Paysandu x Chapecoense

The main points for the tip for Paysandu x Chapecoense: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Paysandu in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-115.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Chapecoense in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-210.0. 👉 In the last 3 Chapecoense matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Paysandu x Chapecoense?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Paysandu x Chapecoense, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Paysandu x Chapecoense for the Brazil Serie B – 16 of April

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Paysandu x Chapecoense right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1305181 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Paysandu x Chapecoense

Is it a good idea to bet on Paysandu?

🔵 Paysandu: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 61.91% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 620 times – profiting $496.00;
• And would have lost other 380 times – with a loss of -$380.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$116.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.5%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $576.00;
• And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$184.00.

Is betting on Chapecoense worth it?

🔴 Chapecoense: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 13.6%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.36. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $470.40;
• And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$389.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Paysandu x Chapecoense

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Paysandu
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Paysandu x Chapecoense

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Paysandu and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Paysandu.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Chapecoense.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Paysandu x Chapecoense

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.