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16/1/2022 11:15 |
 PEC Zwolle Women4.68 |
X 4.46 |
FC Twente Women  1.51 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for PEC Zwolle Women x FC Twente Women:
๐ฎ FC Twente Women wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on FC Twente Women, you can win up to $757.50!
๐ Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for PEC Zwolle Women x FC Twente Women
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Analysis from PEC Zwolle Women x FC Twente Women for the Netherlands Eredivisie Women – 16 of January
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๐๏ธ PEC Zwolle Women X FC Twente Women – Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for PEC Zwolle Women x FC Twente Women right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 288046 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for PEC Zwolle Women x FC Twente Women
Is it a good idea to bet on PEC Zwolle Women?
๐ต PEC Zwolle Women: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 4.25% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.68. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 40 times – having a profit of $147.20;
- And would lose other 960 times – having a loss of -$960.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐ฐ-$812.80.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
โช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 9.77% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.46. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 100 times – this would give you a profit of $346.50
- And would lose other 900 times – losing -$900.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$553.50.
Should you bet on FC Twente Women?
๐ด FC Twente Women: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 85.98% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.51. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 860 times – this would give you a profit of $442.90
- And would have lost other 140 times – with a loss of -$140.00 because of them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐ฐ$302.90.
Handicaps analysis for the match PEC Zwolle Women x FC Twente Women
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
โ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 PEC Zwolle Women
โฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for PEC Zwolle Women x FC Twente Women
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 PEC Zwolle Women, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 PEC Zwolle Women.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.0 PEC Zwolle Women.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for PEC Zwolle Women x FC Twente Women
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.50 goals.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
