Pena Balsamaiso CF x Haro Deportivo Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Tercera Group 16

Our betting tip for Pena Balsamaiso CF x Haro Deportivo, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 12:00

Pena Balsamaiso CF 1.66

X 3.60

Haro Deportivo 4.37

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Pena Balsamaiso CF x Haro Deportivo:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Pena Balsamaiso CF x Haro Deportivo

The main points for the tip for Pena Balsamaiso CF x Haro Deportivo: 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Pena Balsamaiso CF scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 Pena Balsamaiso CF matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Pena Balsamaiso CF conceded at least 2 goal(s).

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Pena Balsamaiso CF x Haro Deportivo?

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Analysis from Pena Balsamaiso CF x Haro Deportivo for the Spain Tercera Group 16 – 29 of September

When the best bet on Pena Balsamaiso CF x Haro Deportivo is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Pena Balsamaiso CF x Haro Deportivo

Is betting on Pena Balsamaiso CF worth it?

🔵 Pena Balsamaiso CF: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 63.42% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.66. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 630 times – having a profit of $415.80;
• And would have lost other 370 times – with a loss of -$370.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$45.80, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.42% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $546.00
• And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$244.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Haro Deportivo?

🔴 Haro Deportivo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.15% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.37. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 150 times – profiting $505.50;
• And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$344.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Pena Balsamaiso CF x Haro Deportivo

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Pena Balsamaiso CF
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Pena Balsamaiso CF x Haro Deportivo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Pena Balsamaiso CF, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Pena Balsamaiso CF.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Haro Deportivo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Pena Balsamaiso CF x Haro Deportivo

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.