Penarol x Colo Colo Betting tips for January 13 in America Friendlies

Our betting tip for Penarol x Colo Colo, Monday, 13/1/2025

📅 13/1/2025 01:00

Penarol 2.36

X 3.28

Colo Colo 2.70

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Penarol x Colo Colo:

🔮 Colo Colo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Colo Colo, you can win up to $1350.00!

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The main points for the tip for Penarol x Colo Colo: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Penarol in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $326.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Colo Colo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $44.0. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Penarol scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Colo Colo scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Colo Colo is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 4 away matches, it had at least 65.00% of possession. 👉 Penarol is good playing home: it has 6 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 In the last 4 road matches, Colo Colo has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from Penarol x Colo Colo for the America Friendlies – 13 of January

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Penarol and Colo Colo.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1245132 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Penarol x Colo Colo

Is it worth betting on Penarol?

🔵 Penarol: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 37.75% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.36. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 380 times – this would give you a profit of $516.80
• And would lose other 620 times – having a loss of -$620.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$103.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.38%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.28. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $319.20;
• And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$540.80.

Should you bet on Colo Colo?

🔴 Colo Colo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 47.87%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 480 times – profiting $816.00;
• And would have lost other 520 times – with a loss of -$520.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$296.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Penarol x Colo Colo

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Penarol
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Penarol x Colo Colo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Penarol, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Penarol.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Colo Colo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Penarol x Colo Colo

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.