Penarol x Racing Club de Montevideo Betting tips for September 30 in Uruguay Clausura

Our betting tip for Penarol x Racing Club de Montevideo, Monday, 30/9/2024

📅 30/9/2024 20:00

Penarol 1.58

X 3.65

Racing Club de Montevideo 5.10

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Penarol x Racing Club de Montevideo:

🔮 Racing Club de Montevideo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Racing Club de Montevideo, you can win up to $2550.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Penarol x Racing Club de Montevideo: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Penarol in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-56.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Racing Club de Montevideo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $150.0. 👉 Penarol did not concede a goal in the last 6 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 9 matches as the away team, Racing Club de Montevideo scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Racing Club de Montevideo, Penarol scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 9 matches as the away team, Racing Club de Montevideo conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Penarol conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Racing Club de Montevideo. 👉 In the last 6 road matches, Racing Club de Montevideo has not lost any of them. 👉 Penarol has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Racing Club de Montevideo playing at home.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Penarol x Racing Club de Montevideo?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Penarol x Racing Club de Montevideo, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Penarol x Racing Club de Montevideo for the Uruguay Clausura – 30 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Penarol x Racing Club de Montevideo right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1192575 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Penarol x Racing Club de Montevideo

Is it a good idea to bet on Penarol?

🔵 Penarol: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 50.25%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.58. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 500 times – profiting $290.00;
• And would have lost other 500 times – with a loss of -$500.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$210.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.63% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.65. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $556.50
• And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$233.50.

Should you bet on Racing Club de Montevideo?

🔴 Racing Club de Montevideo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.12% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $1189.00;
• And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$479.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Penarol x Racing Club de Montevideo

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Penarol
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Penarol x Racing Club de Montevideo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Penarol, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Penarol.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Penarol x Racing Club de Montevideo

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.