Penya Encarnada x FC Santa Coloma Betting tips for November 30 in Andorra Premier Division
| 📅 30/11/2025 15:00 |
 Penya Encarnada7.65 |
X 4.50 |
FC Santa Coloma  1.33 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Penya Encarnada x FC Santa Coloma:
🔮 FC Santa Coloma wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on FC Santa Coloma, you can win up to $665.00!
Important information for your tip for Penya Encarnada x FC Santa Coloma:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Penya Encarnada in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-367.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Santa Coloma in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $2888.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Penya Encarnada conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Penya Encarnada conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against FC Santa Coloma.
👉 In the last 6 road matches, FC Santa Coloma has not lost any of them.
👉 It is not a good time for Penya Encarnada as home team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last home matches.
👉 Even as a visitor, FC Santa Coloma won the last 3 head-to-head matches Penya Encarnada´s territory
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Analysis from Penya Encarnada x FC Santa Coloma for the Andorra Premier Division – 30 of November
🏟️ Penya Encarnada X FC Santa Coloma – Andorra Premier Division
📅 30 of November, 2025 – 15:00
🔵 Penya Encarnada – Winning probability: 1.79% | Fair line: 55.98
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 7.93% | Fair line: 12.61
🔴 FC Santa Coloma – Winning probability: 90.29% | Fair line: 1.11
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.75 Penya Encarnada
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks
When the best bet on Penya Encarnada x FC Santa Coloma is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1446133 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Penya Encarnada x FC Santa Coloma
Is betting on Penya Encarnada worth it?
🔵 Penya Encarnada: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 1.79%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 7.65. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 20 times – having a profit of $133.00;
- And would lose other 980 times – having a loss of -$980.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$847.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 7.93% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 80 times – profiting $280.00;
- And would lose other 920 times – having a loss of -$920.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$640.00.
Should you bet on FC Santa Coloma?
🔴 FC Santa Coloma: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 90.29% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.33. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 900 times – profiting $297.00;
- And would lose other 100 times – having a loss of -$100.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$197.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Penya Encarnada x FC Santa Coloma
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.75 Penya Encarnada
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Penya Encarnada x FC Santa Coloma
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.75 Penya Encarnada, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.5 Penya Encarnada.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.5 FC Santa Coloma.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Penya Encarnada x FC Santa Coloma
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
