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Home » Predictions » Others » Persebaya Surabaya x Semen Padang Betting tips for May 11 in Indonesia Liga 1
Sunday, 11 May 2025, 12h00 Indonesia Liga 1
Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya
PREDICTION Persebaya Surabaya wins Probability 80% 1 X 2
Semen Padang Semen Padang
ODD: @1.46 Don't miss this prediction!

Persebaya Surabaya x Semen Padang Betting tips for May 11 in Indonesia Liga 1

Our betting tip for Persebaya Surabaya x Semen Padang, Sunday, 11/5/2025
📅 11/5/2025
12:00
Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya
1.46
X
4.00
Semen Padang Semen Padang
5.50

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Persebaya Surabaya x Semen Padang:

🔮 Persebaya Surabaya wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Persebaya Surabaya, you can win up to $730.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Persebaya Surabaya x Semen Padang:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Persebaya Surabaya in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $75.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Semen Padang in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $50.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Persebaya Surabaya scored at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Persebaya Surabaya x Semen Padang for the Indonesia Liga 1 – 11 of May

🏟️ Persebaya Surabaya X Semen Padang – Indonesia Liga 1
📅 11 of May, 2025 – 12:00
🔵 Persebaya Surabaya – Winning probability: 80.73% | Fair line: 1.24
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 13.32% | Fair line: 7.5
🔴 Semen Padang – Winning probability: 5.95% | Fair line: 16.82
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Persebaya Surabaya
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Persebaya Surabaya x Semen Padang right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1322631 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Persebaya Surabaya x Semen Padang

Is betting on Persebaya Surabaya worth it?

🔵 Persebaya Surabaya: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 80.73% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.46. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 810 times – having a profit of $372.60;
  • And would have lost other 190 times – with a loss of -$190.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$182.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.32% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $390.00
  • And would lose other 870 times – losing -$870.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$480.00.

Should you bet on Semen Padang?

🔴 Semen Padang: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 5.95% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 60 times – having a profit of $270.00;
  • And would have lost other 940 times – with a loss of -$940.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$670.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Persebaya Surabaya x Semen Padang

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Persebaya Surabaya
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Persebaya Surabaya x Semen Padang

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Persebaya Surabaya, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Persebaya Surabaya.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Persebaya Surabaya x Semen Padang

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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