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Home ยป Predictions ยป Persepolis x Pakhtakor Tashkent Betting tips for September 30 in AFC Champions League Elite
Monday, 30 September 2024, 13h00 AFC Champions League Elite
Persepolis Persepolis
PREDICTION Persepolis wins Probability 89% 1 X 2
Pakhtakor Tashkent Pakhtakor Tashkent
ODD: @1.5 Don't miss this prediction!

Persepolis x Pakhtakor Tashkent Betting tips for September 30 in AFC Champions League Elite

Our betting tip for Persepolis x Pakhtakor Tashkent, Monday, 30/9/2024
๐Ÿ“… 30/9/2024
13:00
Persepolis Persepolis
1.50
X
3.55
Pakhtakor Tashkent Pakhtakor Tashkent
5.80

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Persepolis x Pakhtakor Tashkent:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Persepolis wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Persepolis, you can win up to $750.00!

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The main points for the tip for Persepolis x Pakhtakor Tashkent:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Persepolis in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $49.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Pakhtakor Tashkent in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $469.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Persepolis scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Pakhtakor Tashkent scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 Persepolis matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Persepolis x Pakhtakor Tashkent?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Persepolis x Pakhtakor Tashkent:

Analysis from Persepolis x Pakhtakor Tashkent for the AFC Champions League Elite – 30 of September

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Persepolis X Pakhtakor Tashkent – AFC Champions League Elite
๐Ÿ“… 30 of September, 2024 – 13:00
๐Ÿ”ต Persepolis – Winning probability: 89.39% | Fair line: 1.12
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 6.71% | Fair line: 14.91
๐Ÿ”ด Pakhtakor Tashkent – Winning probability: 3.91% | Fair line: 25.6
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Persepolis
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 8.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Persepolis x Pakhtakor Tashkent right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1191189 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Persepolis x Pakhtakor Tashkent

Should you bet on Persepolis?

๐Ÿ”ต Persepolis: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 89.39% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 890 times – having a profit of $445.00;
  • And would lose other 110 times – losing -$110.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$335.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 6.71% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.55. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 70 times – this would give you a profit of $178.50
  • And would lose other 930 times – having a loss of -$930.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$751.50.

Should you bet on Pakhtakor Tashkent?

๐Ÿ”ด Pakhtakor Tashkent: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 3.91%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 40 times – this would give you a profit of $192.00
  • And would lose other 960 times – losing -$960.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$768.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Persepolis x Pakhtakor Tashkent

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Persepolis
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Persepolis x Pakhtakor Tashkent

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Persepolis, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Persepolis.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Pakhtakor Tashkent.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Persepolis x Pakhtakor Tashkent

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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